The model estimates 1.23 goals for Atl. Rafaela and 0.81 for Patronato. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atl. Rafaela and 6 for Patronato, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Rafaela · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atl. Rafaela is going head to head with Patronato on October 31, 2026 at 20:00. Played at Estadio Nuevo Monumental Rafaela. This match is part of Primera Nacional — Round 36.
Atl. Rafaela take on Patronato in the Primera Nacional at Estadio Nuevo Monumental Rafaela on 31 October 2026 at 20:00.
Atl. Rafaela are currently placed 25th in the table with 19 points, while Patronato occupy 33rd position with 13 points.
Atl. Rafaela come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Patronato have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Atl. Rafaela have 4 wins against Patronato, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Atl. Rafaela to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.04. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 41%.




Atl. Rafaela have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Rafaela concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Atl. Rafaela have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Patronato's last 6 matches.
Patronato have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Patronato have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 away matches.