The model estimates 2.25 goals for Ath Bilbao and 0.82 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ath Bilbao and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ath Bilbao · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ath Bilbao is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on May 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 38.
Ath Bilbao take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 30 May 2027 at 00:00.
Ath Bilbao are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Ath Bilbao come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Ath Bilbao have 1 win against Rayo Vallecano, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ath Bilbao to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 51%.




Ath Bilbao are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ath Bilbao have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ath Bilbao have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.