The model estimates 0.90 goals for Astur and 1.56 for Lealtad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Astur and 6 for Lealtad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lealtad · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Astur is going head to head with Lealtad on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 2 — Round 32.
Astur take on Lealtad in the Spain Tercera Division Group 2 on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Astur are currently placed 14th in the table with 5 points, while Lealtad occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Astur come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lealtad have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lealtad to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 48%.
Astur have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Astur have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Astur's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lealtad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Lealtad's last 6 matches.
Lealtad have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.