The model estimates 1.47 goals for Astur and 2.97 for Covadonga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Astur and 6 for Covadonga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covadonga · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Astur is going head to head with Covadonga on March 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 2 — Round 28.
Astur take on Covadonga in the Spain Tercera Division Group 2 on 28 March 2027 at 00:00.
Astur are currently placed 14th in the table with 5 points, while Covadonga occupy 2nd position with 19 points.
Astur come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covadonga have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Astur have 1 win against Covadonga, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Covadonga to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.44. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 74%.
Astur have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Astur have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Astur's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covadonga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Covadonga have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Covadonga's last 6 matches.