The model estimates 2.13 goals for Aston Villa U21 and 1.18 for Newcastle Utd U21. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa U21 and 6 for Newcastle Utd U21, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa U21 · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa U21 is going head to head with Newcastle Utd U21 on January 08, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England Premier League 2.
Aston Villa U21 take on Newcastle Utd U21 in the England Premier League 2 on 8 January 2027 at 00:00.
Aston Villa U21 are currently placed 16th in the table with 8 points, while Newcastle Utd U21 occupy 27th position with 3 points.
Aston Villa U21 come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newcastle Utd U21 have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Newcastle Utd U21 have 3 wins against Aston Villa U21.
Prediction: Aston Villa U21 to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 62%.




Aston Villa U21 have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa U21's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa U21's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Newcastle Utd U21's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Newcastle Utd U21's last 6 matches.
Newcastle Utd U21 score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.