The model estimates 1.19 goals for Ashton Utd and 1.77 for Bury. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ashton Utd and 6 for Bury, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bury · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ashton Utd is going head to head with Bury on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 19.
Ashton Utd take on Bury in the England Northern Premier on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Ashton Utd are currently placed 17th in the table with 14 points, while Bury occupy 10th position with 22 points.
Ashton Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bury have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bury to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.96. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 59%.




Ashton Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ashton Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ashton Utd's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bury have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bury's last 6 matches.