The model estimates 0.87 goals for AS Marsa and 0.78 for Stade Tunisien. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AS Marsa and 6 for Stade Tunisien, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AS Marsa · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AS Marsa is going head to head with Stade Tunisien on December 26, 2026 at 19:30. This match is part of Ligue Professionnelle 1 — Round 13.
AS Marsa take on Stade Tunisien in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 on 26 December 2026 at 19:30.
AS Marsa are currently placed 7th in the table with 9 points, while Stade Tunisien occupy 10th position with 7 points.
AS Marsa come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stade Tunisien have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 52 recorded meetings, Stade Tunisien have 20 wins against AS Marsa, with 16 draws.
Prediction: AS Marsa and Stade Tunisien to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.66. Over 2.5: 23%. BTTS: 33%.




In their last 6 matches, AS Marsa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AS Marsa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AS Marsa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Stade Tunisien have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Stade Tunisien's last 6 matches.
Stade Tunisien have won 4 of their last 6 away matches.