The model estimates 1.18 goals for Arenas Getxo and 1.71 for Barakaldo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arenas Getxo and 6 for Barakaldo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Barakaldo · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arenas Getxo is going head to head with Barakaldo on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 28.
Arenas Getxo take on Barakaldo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Arenas Getxo are currently placed 40th in the table with 5 points, while Barakaldo occupy 29th position with 10 points.
Arenas Getxo come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Barakaldo have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Barakaldo have 6 wins against Arenas Getxo, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Barakaldo to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 58%.




Arenas Getxo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arenas Getxo have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Arenas Getxo's last 6 matches.
Barakaldo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Barakaldo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Barakaldo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.