The model estimates 1.04 goals for Arenal and 1.67 for Formentera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arenal and 6 for Formentera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Formentera · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arenal is going head to head with Formentera on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 11 — Round 14.
Arenal take on Formentera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 11 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Arenal are currently placed 16th in the table with 4 points, while Formentera occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Arenal come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Formentera have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Formentera to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 54%.


Arenal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Arenal's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Formentera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Formentera's last 6 matches.
Formentera score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.