The model estimates 1.41 goals for Aluminij and 0.96 for Maribor. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aluminij and 6 for Maribor, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aluminij · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aluminij is going head to head with Maribor on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of PrvaLiga — Round 19.
Aluminij take on Maribor in the PrvaLiga on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Aluminij are currently placed 6th in the table with 17 points, while Maribor occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Aluminij come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maribor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Aluminij have yet to beat Maribor, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Aluminij to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




Aluminij have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aluminij have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aluminij's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Maribor have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Maribor have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maribor's last 6 matches.