The model estimates 1.30 goals for Alianza and 1.18 for Llaneros. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alianza and 6 for Llaneros, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alianza · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alianza is going head to head with Llaneros on November 04, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Categoría Primera A — Round 18.
Alianza take on Llaneros in the Categoría Primera A on 4 November 2026 at 21:00.
Alianza are currently placed 22nd in the table with 31 points, while Llaneros occupy 17th position with 36 points.
Alianza come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Llaneros have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Alianza have 3 wins against Llaneros, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alianza to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.
ALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAALILLAThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Alianza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Alianza's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alianza have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Llaneros have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Llaneros have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Llaneros's last 6 away matches.
