The model estimates 2.82 goals for Aliaga and 0.80 for Kastamonuspor. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aliaga and 6 for Kastamonuspor, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aliaga · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aliaga is going head to head with Kastamonuspor on November 29, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of 2. Lig White Group — Round 14.
Aliaga take on Kastamonuspor in the 2. Lig White Group on 29 November 2026 at 18:00.
Aliaga are currently placed 1st in the table with 21 points, while Kastamonuspor occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Aliaga come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kastamonuspor have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Aliaga to win with probability 70%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.62. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 52%.
In their last 6 matches, Aliaga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aliaga have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aliaga's last 6 matches.
Kastamonuspor have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kastamonuspor's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Kastamonuspor's last 6 matches.