The model estimates 1.15 goals for Algeciras and 1.02 for Murcia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Algeciras and 6 for Murcia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Algeciras · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Algeciras is going head to head with Murcia on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 25.
Algeciras take on Murcia in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Algeciras are currently placed 18th in the table with 13 points, while Murcia occupy 6th position with 16 points.
Algeciras come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Murcia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Algeciras to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Algeciras have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Algeciras have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Algeciras's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Murcia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Murcia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Murcia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.