The model estimates 1.56 goals for Alaves W and 1.38 for Madrid C. W. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves W and 6 for Madrid C. W, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves W · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves W is going head to head with Madrid C. W on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Women — Round 16.
Alaves W take on Madrid C. W in the Spain Primera Division Women on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves W are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Madrid C. W occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Alaves W come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Madrid C. W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Madrid C. W have 3 wins against Alaves W.
Prediction: Alaves W to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 61%.


Alaves W have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves W have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alaves W's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Madrid C. W have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Madrid C. W have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Madrid C. W's last 6 matches.