The model estimates 1.01 goals for Alaves and 2.12 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves is going head to head with Real Madrid on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 37.
Alaves take on Real Madrid in the LaLiga on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Real Madrid occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
Alaves come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Real Madrid have 2 wins against Alaves.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 57%.




Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.