The model estimates 2.37 goals for Alaves B and 1.52 for Atl. Astorga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves B and 6 for Atl. Astorga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves B · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves B is going head to head with Atl. Astorga on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Segunda B1 — Round 26.
Alaves B take on Atl. Astorga in the Spain Segunda B1 on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves B are currently placed 2nd in the table with 17 points, while Atl. Astorga occupy 13th position with 7 points.
Alaves B come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Astorga have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Alaves B to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.89. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 72%.
Alaves B are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alaves B have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Alaves B's last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Atl. Astorga have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.