The model estimates 1.57 goals for Alajuelense and 1.14 for Cartagines. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alajuelense and 6 for Cartagines, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alajuelense · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alajuelense is going head to head with Cartagines on November 22, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Costa Rican Primera División — Round 17.
Alajuelense take on Cartagines in the Costa Rican Primera División on 22 November 2026 at 21:00.
Alajuelense are currently placed 6th in the table with 43 points, while Cartagines occupy 3rd position with 53 points.
Alajuelense come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cartagines have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 108 recorded meetings, Alajuelense have 58 wins against Cartagines, with 31 draws.
Prediction: Alajuelense to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, Alajuelense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alajuelense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Alajuelense's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Cartagines's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Cartagines's last 6 matches.
Cartagines score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.