The model estimates 0.87 goals for Al-Gharafa 2 and 1.79 for Umm-Salal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al-Gharafa 2 and 6 for Umm-Salal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Umm-Salal · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al-Gharafa 2 is going head to head with Umm-Salal on November 04, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Division 2 — Round 6.
Al-Gharafa 2 take on Umm-Salal in the Division 2 on 4 November 2026 at 18:00.
Al-Gharafa 2 are currently placed 11th in the table with 1 points, while Umm-Salal occupy 8th position with 7 points.
Al-Gharafa 2 come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Umm-Salal have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Umm-Salal to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 50%.




Al-Gharafa 2 have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Al-Gharafa 2 have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Al-Gharafa 2's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Umm-Salal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Umm-Salal have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Umm-Salal's last 6 matches.