The model estimates 0.74 goals for Al Diriyah and 1.51 for Al-Ittihad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Diriyah and 6 for Al-Ittihad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al-Ittihad · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Diriyah is going head to head with Al-Ittihad on April 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 28.
Al Diriyah take on Al-Ittihad in the Saudi Professional League on 22 April 2027 at 00:00.
Al Diriyah are currently placed 8th in the table with 15 points, while Al-Ittihad occupy 4th position with 23 points.
Al Diriyah come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Ittihad have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Al-Ittihad have 1 win against Al Diriyah.
Prediction: Al-Ittihad to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.24. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 42%.




In their last 6 matches, Al Diriyah have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Al Diriyah have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Diriyah's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al-Ittihad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al-Ittihad have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Al-Ittihad's last 6 matches.