The model estimates 1.47 goals for Al Ahed and 1.05 for Tripoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Al Ahed and 6 for Tripoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Al Ahed is going head to head with Tripoli on July 05, 2024 at 09:00. This match is part of Lebanese Cup — Semi-finals.
Al Ahed take on Tripoli in the Lebanese Cup on 5 July 2024 at 09:00.
Al Ahed come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tripoli have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 31 recorded meetings, Al Ahed have 20 wins against Tripoli, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Al Ahed to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Al Ahed's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Al Ahed's last 6 matches.
Al Ahed score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Tripoli's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tripoli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tripoli have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
