The model estimates 1.71 goals for Aguilas and 0.96 for Fortaleza. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aguilas and 6 for Fortaleza, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aguilas · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aguilas is going head to head with Fortaleza on November 01, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Categoría Primera A — Round 17.
Aguilas take on Fortaleza in the Categoría Primera A on 1 November 2026 at 21:00.
Aguilas are currently placed 13th in the table with 43 points, while Fortaleza occupy 19th position with 36 points.
Aguilas come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fortaleza have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Aguilas have 4 wins against Fortaleza, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Aguilas to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.67. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 52%.




Aguilas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aguilas's last 6 matches.
Aguilas are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Fortaleza have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Fortaleza have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Fortaleza's last 6 matches.