The model estimates 1.82 goals for Agoncillo and 1.20 for Alfaro. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Agoncillo and 6 for Alfaro, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Agoncillo · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Agoncillo is going head to head with Alfaro on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 16 — Round 34.
Agoncillo take on Alfaro in the Spain Tercera Division Group 16 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Agoncillo are currently placed 10th in the table with 12 points, while Alfaro occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Agoncillo come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alfaro have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Alfaro have 11 wins against Agoncillo, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Agoncillo to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 60%.
In their last 6 matches, Agoncillo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Agoncillo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alfaro have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Alfaro have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Alfaro have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.