The model estimates 1.24 goals for AFS and 1.69 for Penafiel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AFS and 6 for Penafiel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Penafiel · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AFS is going head to head with Penafiel on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 24.
AFS take on Penafiel in the Liga Portugal 2 on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
AFS are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Penafiel occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
AFS come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Penafiel have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AFS have 1 win against Penafiel.
Prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.94. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, AFS have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AFS's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of AFS's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Penafiel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Penafiel have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Penafiel's last 6 matches.