The model estimates 1.46 goals for AF Elbasani and 1.19 for Skenderbeu. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AF Elbasani and 6 for Skenderbeu, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AF Elbasani · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AF Elbasani is going head to head with Skenderbeu on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Kategoria Superiore — Round 16.
AF Elbasani take on Skenderbeu in the Kategoria Superiore on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
AF Elbasani are currently placed 5th in the table with 11 points, while Skenderbeu occupy 8th position with 10 points.
AF Elbasani come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Skenderbeu have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, AF Elbasani have 1 win against Skenderbeu, with 3 draws.
Prediction: AF Elbasani to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.




In their last 6 matches, AF Elbasani have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of AF Elbasani's last 6 matches.
AF Elbasani have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Skenderbeu have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Skenderbeu's last 6 matches.
Skenderbeu have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.