The model estimates 3.47 goals for AEK Athens and 0.90 for Kalamata. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Athens and 6 for Kalamata, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Athens · 74%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Athens is going head to head with Kalamata on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 17.
AEK Athens take on Kalamata in the Super League Greece on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
AEK Athens are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while Kalamata occupy 8th position with 10 points.
AEK Athens come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kalamata have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AEK Athens to win with probability 74%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.37. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 58%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Athens have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Kalamata have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Kalamata's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Kalamata's last 6 matches.