The model estimates 3.03 goals for AEK Athens and 0.70 for Asteras Tripolis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Athens and 6 for Asteras Tripolis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Athens · 68%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Athens is going head to head with Asteras Tripolis on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 22.
AEK Athens take on Asteras Tripolis in the Super League Greece on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
AEK Athens are currently placed 3rd in the table with 17 points, while Asteras Tripolis occupy 9th position with 9 points.
AEK Athens come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Asteras Tripolis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AEK Athens have yet to beat Asteras Tripolis, with 1 draw.
Prediction: AEK Athens to win with probability 73%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 3.73. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 48%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Athens have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of AEK Athens's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Asteras Tripolis have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Asteras Tripolis have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Asteras Tripolis's last 6 matches.