The model estimates 1.34 goals for AD Tarma and 1.78 for Sporting Cristal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Tarma and 6 for Sporting Cristal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sporting Cristal · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Tarma is going head to head with Sporting Cristal on November 07, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Peruvian Primera División — Round 16.
AD Tarma take on Sporting Cristal in the Peruvian Primera División on 7 November 2026 at 21:00.
AD Tarma are currently placed 16th in the table with 30 points, while Sporting Cristal occupy 4th position with 60 points.
AD Tarma come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sporting Cristal have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Sporting Cristal have 4 wins against AD Tarma, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Sporting Cristal to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.
AD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOAD SPOIn their last 6 matches, AD Tarma have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Tarma have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AD Tarma's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sporting Cristal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sporting Cristal have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Sporting Cristal's last 6 matches.
