The model estimates 0.76 goals for Abha and 2.28 for Al Nassr. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Abha and 6 for Al Nassr, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Al Nassr · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Abha is going head to head with Al Nassr on March 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 23.
Abha take on Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League on 18 March 2027 at 00:00.
Abha are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Al Nassr occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Abha come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al Nassr have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Al Nassr have 10 wins against Abha, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Al Nassr to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 49%.
ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL ABHAL Abha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Abha have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Abha concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Al Nassr have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Al Nassr have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Al Nassr's last 6 matches.
