The model estimates 1.13 goals for Abha and 1.19 for Al-Faisaly. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Abha and 6 for Al-Faisaly, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Abha is going head to head with Al-Faisaly on October 11, 2026 at 15:25. Played at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium Abha. This match is part of Saudi Professional League — Round 8.
Abha take on Al-Faisaly in the Saudi Professional League at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium Abha on 11 October 2026 at 15:25.
Abha are currently placed 18th in the table with 2 points, while Al-Faisaly occupy 15th position with 3 points.
Abha come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Al-Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Abha and Al-Faisaly to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.




Abha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Abha have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Abha concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Al-Faisaly have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Al-Faisaly's last 6 matches.
Al-Faisaly have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.