The model estimates 2.30 goals for Pill and 1.62 for Treowen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pill and 6 for Treowen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pill is going head to head with Treowen on September 20, 2025 at 09:00. This match is part of FA Cup — 1/64-finals.
Pill take on Treowen in the FA Cup on 20 September 2025 at 09:00.
Pill come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Treowen have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Pill to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.92. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 73%.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Pill's last 6 matches.
Pill have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Pill concede an average of 2.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Treowen have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Treowen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Treowen's last 6 matches.