The model estimates 1.48 goals for Montpellier and 0.66 for Guingamp. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Montpellier and 6 for Guingamp, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Montpellier · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Montpellier is going head to head with Guingamp on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 16.
Montpellier take on Guingamp in the Ligue 2 on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Montpellier are currently placed 3rd in the table with 18 points, while Guingamp occupy 11th position with 11 points.
Montpellier come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Guingamp have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Montpellier have 16 wins against Guingamp, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Montpellier to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Montpellier have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Montpellier's last 6 matches.
Montpellier have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Guingamp have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Guingamp's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Guingamp's last 6 matches.