The model estimates 1.88 goals for Lok. Sofia and 1.12 for Septemvri Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lok. Sofia and 6 for Septemvri Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lok. Sofia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lok. Sofia is going head to head with Septemvri Sofia on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 26.
Lok. Sofia take on Septemvri Sofia in the Parva Liga on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lok. Sofia are currently placed 11th in the table with 9 points, while Septemvri Sofia occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Lok. Sofia come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Septemvri Sofia have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 16 recorded meetings, Lok. Sofia have 7 wins against Septemvri Sofia, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Lok. Sofia to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Lok. Sofia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lok. Sofia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lok. Sofia's last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.