The model estimates 1.88 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.61 for Gorica. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hajduk Split and 6 for Gorica, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hajduk Split is going head to head with Gorica on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 30.
Hajduk Split take on Gorica in the HNL on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hajduk Split are currently placed 1st in the table with 22 points, while Gorica occupy 9th position with 7 points.
Hajduk Split come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gorica have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 36 recorded meetings, Hajduk Split have 19 wins against Gorica, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.49. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Hajduk Split have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Gorica have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gorica have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gorica's last 6 matches.