The model estimates 1.43 goals for Ermis and 1.58 for Doxa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ermis and 6 for Doxa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ermis · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ermis is going head to head with Doxa on December 18, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Cyprus Second Division — Round 12.
Ermis take on Doxa in the Cyprus Second Division on 18 December 2026 at 20:00.
Ermis are currently placed 6th in the table with 9 points, while Doxa occupy 4th position with 11 points.
Ermis come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Doxa have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Doxa to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.
ERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXERMDOXThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Ermis's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ermis have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Ermis have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Doxa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Doxa's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Doxa's last 6 matches.
