The model estimates 1.93 goals for Ebbsfleet and 1.10 for Tonbridge. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ebbsfleet and 6 for Tonbridge, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ebbsfleet · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ebbsfleet is going head to head with Tonbridge on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 27.
Ebbsfleet take on Tonbridge in the England National League South on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ebbsfleet are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Tonbridge occupy 7th position with 21 points.
Ebbsfleet come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tonbridge have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Ebbsfleet have 7 wins against Tonbridge, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ebbsfleet to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 58%.




Ebbsfleet are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ebbsfleet have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ebbsfleet have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tonbridge have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.