The model estimates 1.75 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.51 for Aris. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Asteras Tripolis and 6 for Aris, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Asteras Tripolis · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Asteras Tripolis is going head to head with Aris on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Super League Greece — Round 11.
Asteras Tripolis take on Aris in the Super League Greece on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Asteras Tripolis are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while Aris occupy 4th position with 16 points.
Asteras Tripolis come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aris have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Asteras Tripolis to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 66%.
ASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIASTARIIn their last 6 matches, Asteras Tripolis have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Asteras Tripolis have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Asteras Tripolis's last 6 matches.
Aris are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aris have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Aris's last 6 matches.
